[The echo of the June-India clash in the country has not stopped. In such a situation, perhaps it is time to ask the big question, how will this incident affect the relationship between the two big countries of Asia? The question is also why this tragedy happened? Why did China risk destabilizing a peaceful border like this?
There is consensus in India that this is a planned move by the Chinese military squad to strengthen its position on the LAC. Instead of just patrolling, they have made a permanent presence beyond the place that China claims.
Its purpose seems to be to increase the presence of the Chinese army to the confluence of the Galvan and Shyok River, which would lead to the Galvan Valley being out of the Indian border. China has issued statements that the Galvan Valley was always from China. It is less likely that Beijing is making any dramatic plans like the war.
Rather, the aim of his move seems to be to make small military encroachments, seize a few square kilometers of territory for local strategic purposes, and then declare peace. Disengagement will be announced by mutual consent, with both sides claiming that the crisis is over, but in fact it will end with a better Chinese situation than before.
With many such developments in a year, China will consolidate the LAC where it wants, so that whenever it comes to the border agreement these new realities will be seen and the agreement will be in its favor. This is his long-term plan.
Beijing has been saying that the border agreement should be left to future generations because it knows that China's economic, military and geopolitical position is becoming stronger than India with each passing year. That is why India should insist on re-positioning and returning to the same position it was before April 2020.
It is very unclear whether China would agree to this. Both countries have sent more troops to the border and there seems to be a possibility of a long confrontation. The tragedy of the Galvan Valley and the action of the Chinese Army have provoked a resentment against China among the Indian public. This has given a boost to those sitting in New Delhi who think that India should stand against China along with America and other democracies in the region.
There are many reasons not to trust Beijing. For example, China's 'all-weather' alliance with India's bitter-enemy Pakistan, in which it has invested billions of dollars. At the same time, China often favors Pak. Then it has a good financial presence in India's neighbors Nepal, Sri Lanka, Myanmar and Bangladesh, so that it can reduce the traditional influence of New Delhi.
At the same time, there are also reasons for China's opposition to India's permanent place in the UN Security Council or Nuclear Suppliers Group.
With the Cold War coming to an end, Beijing had two options for relations with India: first to see India as a natural ally with Russia to create an alternative pole of US dominance, or to see it as a potential opponent of its own ambitions. See as China seems to have agreed that India is opposed to the strong relations that emerged between India and America, while India has refused to become a US ally against Beijing and China is India's second largest trade partner.
This may be due to the strengthening of this negative perception of China: India's involvement in the quad (quadrilateral) system with the US, Japan and Australia, increasing its old 'attachment' with the Soviet (including the Indian Army in Tajikistan ), Criticizing China's 'Belt and Road' initiative, India's exit from regional macroeconomic partnerships in Asia in the face of fears of China's dominance and India's 'Indo-Pacific' region and the South Supporting America's position in the China Sea. But New Delhi does not consider itself hostile to China.
India has historically been a non-aligned country and has never had a desire to strategize for any one. New Delhi did not find Donald Trump's America a particularly reliable ally. Modi, who has been to China five times as Prime Minister, had already started the 'new era of cooperation between two countries' eight months ago and after the arrival of Corono, there has been a situation of war between the two countries.
The era seems to have ended in eight months. Dissatisfied in the current development, India can move towards America. China probably does not matter. Beijing is thinking that it can afford to remind India of its place, it can do anything for it even if it has to fight with America and India also told China that it is ready for war Vinod Meghwani A news from pen
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